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Bitcoin Price Watch: Geopolitical Shock Lifts BTC, with $71K Back in Focus 

March 3, 2026

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Bitcoin (BTC) is trading unevenly in the mid-$60,000s, but the weekend’s volatility was a timely reminder of how quickly macro headlines can shift sentiment. Escalating tensions involving the U.S., Israel and Iran have nudged parts of the market back into risk-off positioning. In these periods, the “digital safe haven” narrative around Bitcoin tends to re-emerge.

One of the more constructive developments last week was a reversal in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF flows. After several weeks of net outflows, aggregated data pointed to roughly $787 million in weekly net inflows. That suggests institutional demand may be stabilising.

Sentiment, however, remains defensive. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has reportedly rebounded from extreme lows (lifting from 5 to around 15). While that remains firmly in “extreme fear” territory, it does indicate that panic conditions may be easing at the margin.

From a price-action perspective, BTC appears to be consolidating. Buyers have repeatedly defended the low-$60,000s, while rallies have struggled to break through the low-$70,000s. The key level in focus is $71,000, which has acted as clear resistance. A decisive break above this zone could trigger short covering and build momentum. Another rejection would reinforce the view that Bitcoin remains range-bound.

Technically, momentum indicators such as RSI align with a consolidation phase rather than a sustained trend. Traders will be looking for a convincing move, supported by strong volume, to confirm whether the next test of $71,000 has genuine follow-through.

This week’s direction is likely to hinge on two factors:

  • Geopolitical risk: whether ongoing headlines, retaliation risks or cyber threats sustain demand for liquid alternative hedges.
  • Institutional flows: particularly whether ETF inflows continue beyond a single rebound week.

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